COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE IS OFTEN UNDERESTIMATED
Psychologist Sacha Altay, who was not involved in the new research, said people tend to underestimate the power of collective intelligence, which has proven surprisingly good for forecasting and assessing information – as long as enough people participate.
The public perception of social media misinformation is often distorted by political biases, outrage and self-delusion. Last year a group of researchers from Oxford University prompted some much-needed reflection with a study titled “People Believe Misinformation Is a Threat Because They Assume Others Are Gullible”.
In other words, the people most outraged about fake news aren’t worried they’ll be fooled; they’re worried others will be. But we tend to overestimate our own levels of discernment.
During the pandemic, fact checkers and moderators labelled lots of subjective statements as misinformation, especially those judging various activities to be “safe”.
But there’s no scientific definition of safe – which is why people could talk past each other for months about whether it was safe to let kids back into school or gather without masks. Much of what was labelled as misinformation was just minority opinion.
Twitter’s old censorship system was based on the assumption that people skip vaccines or otherwise make bad choices because they are exposed to misinformation.
But another possibility is that lack of trust is the real problem – people lose trust in health authorities or can’t find the information they want, and that causes them to seek out fringe sources. If that’s the case, censorship could create more distrust by stifling open discussion about important topics.
Of course, people don’t usually portray themselves as “pro-censorship”, even if that’s what’s happening. Conservatives are more likely to accept censorship of material they deem indecent, while liberals are more likely to tolerate censorship of information they deem harmful.
But both sides should approve of any system that discourages blind assumptions and snap judgments and encourages open discussion, reflection and the deployment of collective brainpower. Musk is a divisive figure and there’s plenty to dislike about the recent changes in X, but at least Community Notes represents an upgrade.
