SINGAPORE : The dollar was firm on Tuesday while the yen struggled on the weaker side of the 156 level, though trade was mostly rangebound as investors generally stuck to their views of the expected timing and extent of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
Cryptocurrencies rallied, led by a surge in ether on growing anticipation of an impending approval of spot ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Against the yen, the dollar rose 0.07 per cent to 156.37 in the early Asian session.
The yen has traded in a tight range over the past few sessions as fears of further intervention from Japanese authorities deterred traders from pushing the currency to new lows. However, the still-stark interest rate differentials between the U.S. and Japan maintained the appeal of the yen as a funding currency.
Elsewhere, the euro edged 0.03 per cent higher to $1.0860, while sterling similarly tacked on 0.03 per cent to $1.27095.
With little on the U.S. economic data calendar this week to guide the direction of currency moves, focus turns to a slew of Fed speakers for clues on the U.S. rate outlook and how soon an easing cycle could begin.
Several officials on Monday called for continued policy caution, even after data last week showed a welcome easing in consumer price pressures in April.
“I think all the comments from various officials will deliver more of the same messages, and the main message will be for the FOMC to continue a patient approach on interest rate cuts,” said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
Still, the cautious Fed rhetoric has so far done little to significantly alter the market pricing for rate cuts, with investors betting on two cuts this year beginning September.
The New Zealand dollar was little changed at $0.6107, while the Aussie ticked 0.1 per cent higher to $0.6674, ahead of minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May meeting due later on Tuesday.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar steadied at 104.61.
In the cryptoverse, ether jumped more than 5 per cent to an over one-month high of $3,691.80, after having surged nearly 14 per cent in the previous session – its largest daily percentage gain since November 2022.
Bitcoin similarly charged more than 3 per cent higher to break above the $70,000 level. It last bought $71,259.
Analysts said the latest crypto rally came on the back of speculation that an approval of spot ether ETFs by the U.S. SEC could be imminent, following in the footsteps of the listing of bitcoin ETFs earlier this year.
“It’s absolutely flown,” said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG. “I think it’s partly to do with that speculation, but also to do with that core (U.S.) inflation data last week that’s boosted risk sentiment and obviously brought rate cuts back into play.
“With the SEC approval in January and then the halving out of the way, it was lacking a little bit of a catalyst in terms of what would be the next key driver for crypto, and I think it was always going to revert back to macro. And the macro has been really, really good since last Wednesday.”
