SINGAPORE : Asian stocks got off to a shaky start on Thursday after the Federal Reserve flagged delays to interest rate cuts, while the dollar fell heavily on the yen in what traders reckoned was Japanese intervention.
Oil fell sharply overnight as the prospect of cuts seemed more distant and after a surprise jump in U.S. stockpiles, with Brent crude futures hitting a seven-week low of $83.44.
Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.7 per cent at the open and South Korean shares lost 0.5 per cent. Australian shares were flat. S&P 500 futures rose 0.4 per cent after the cash index had closed 0.3 per cent lower overnight.
The dollar’s value fell by almost five yen in 40 minutes of late New York trade to touch 153 yen. It was last at 155.63 yen, having traded around 157.5 before the sudden dive.
The move follows sharp yen gains on Monday which Japanese money market data suggested may have been intervention to the tune of some $35 billion in dollar selling.
“There was an intervention (by Japan),” said Thierry Wizman, global foreign exchange and rates strategist at Macquarie, of the most recent yen leap.
“They are trying to dissuade speculators from buying dollars and selling yen by making the experience painful for them.”
Earlier the Federal Reserve had left interest rates on hold and chair Jerome Powell told reporters that inflation was too high and progress in bringing it down was uncertain.
“There are paths to not cutting and there are paths to cutting. It’s really going to depend on the data,” he said.
Treasuries rallied, pushing yields lower, as the Fed also said it would slow down its balance-sheet runoff.
Ten-year Treasury yields fell 9.3 basis points to 4.591 per cent in New York. Two-year Treasury yields fell 10.7 bps to 4.939 per cent.
“We think the market takeaway is that the (Fed) now wants to distance itself as far as possible from speculation that it might hike,” said Steve Englander, Standard Chartered’s head of G10 currency research and North America macro strategy, in a note.
After pricing in as many as six rate cuts for 2024 earlier this year, markets now price only one, in December.
Overnight chipmaker Qualcomm beat market expectations for sales and profit, sending its shares up 4 per cent in after-hours trading. Focus later on Thursday will be on Apple results, where markets have braced for a big drop in sales and are waiting to hear of the company’s plans for AI in iPhones.
Much of Asia is returning from a holiday that had closed markets on Wednesday, though Chinese bond, currency and stock markets remain shut through the rest of the week.
In foreign exchange trade the yen’s gains – and relief that the Fed is not talking about hikes – pushed the dollar lower.
Early in the Asia session the Australian dollar was 0.1 per cent higher at $0.6513.
The euro was steady at $1.0715.
Outside of oil the stronger dollar weighed on other commodities. Copper prices fell in London. Gold rose overnight and was last holding at $2,324 in Asia trade.
